9th EDITION SERF UNDER_GROUND JOURNAL.

A SERF’S MUSINGS ON THOMAS KUHN’S ‘NORMAL’ SCIENCE.

The Proceedings of The International Colloquium in the Philosophy of Science in London, 1965 , included papers by  two of the most influential philosophers  of science in the 20th century, Thomas Kuhn  and Karl Popper. Based on Kuhn’s theory of scientific revolution and Popper’s evolutionary theory of science with its process of falsification through testing, the conference included papers by several other participants as well, including J.W.N. Watson and P.K. Feyerband. The proceedings were published in Imre Lakatos’ and Alan Musgrave’s widely read  ‘Criticism and the Growth of Knowledge.’ (Cambridge Uni Press, 1970.)

In Thomas Kuhn’s book, ‘The Structure of Scientific Revolutions,’ (1962) Kuhn argues that when an area of science selects a scientific theory, the process is like a political revolution. For Kuhn, scientific revolution, like political revolution, involves a choice between two incompatible modes of thought, or ‘paradigms,’ in which the adoption of a new paradigm demands the destruction of the old.

While a paradigm prevails, its adherents are engaged in what Kuhn views as ‘Normal Science’ a process where research is about validation of the paradigm. So called ‘testing’ in Normal Science is not actual testing but instead, a puzzle solving activity involving the dominant paradigm’s anomalies or discrepancies. Essentially Kuhn sees this, not as problem solving, but as a test of the scientist’s own puzzle-solving ability: ‘in the final analysis, it is the individual scientist rather than the current theory that is being tested.’ ( Kuhn in L&M p 5.)

This process of normal or mature science continues until scientists become doubtful of the paradigm’s adequacy to explain the natural phenomena and a revolution occurs, Kuhn’s ‘Extraordinary Science,’ when a scientist experiences a paradigm-switch described by Kuhn as  ‘a relatively sudden, unstructured event like the gestalt switch.’ ( Kuhn, 1962. p121.)

Karl Popper does not agree with Kuhn’s view of ‘Normal’ and ‘Extraordinary’ Science, instead arguing that science is an evolutionary process in which one theory is superseded by another with more explanatory power, a new theory that also eliminates the difficulties of the previous theory. Theory evolution is a process of conjecture and refutation involving testing. Tests for Popper are the criterion of demarcation between science, pseudo-science and other modes of enquiry.

As Popper explains it, ‘In order to avoid speaking at cross- purposes, scientists try to express their theories in such a form that they can be tested: i.e. refuted, (or else corroborated) by experience.’  Karl Popper ‘The Open Society and Its Enemies.’ (1962. p 218.)  Other modes of assertion are unacceptable because they do not lend themselves to a replication of the process by which scientists have arrived at their findings and thereby are not open to testing and possibly falsification.. Under these conditions, Popper argues, the theory that provisionally prevails does so, not because of the persuasive power of a group, as with support for an ideology, but because of a theory’s power to explain and predict observable regularities of nature and withstand attempts to refute it.

Some papers. eg ‘ Popper, Kuhn and the Evolution of Science,’ by Pat Duffy Hutchison (Brock Review, 1995.) argue, as does Kuhn himself, the correspondences between  Kuhn’s and Popper’s views of science. I consider their differences ter be fundamental. I agree with John Watkins’ observation (L&M 1970. p 26) that Kuhn views the science community as an essentially closed society, intermittently shaken by collective nervous breakdowns followed by restored mental unison, and Popper’s view that the scientific community ought to be, and to a considerable degree  actually is, an open society in which no theory, however dominant and successful , no ‘paradigm,’ to use Kuhn’s term, is ever sacred.’

THE CLASH!

‘Thus we have the following clash; the condition which Kuhn regards as the normal and proper condition of science is a condition which, if obtained, Popper would regard as unscientific, a state of affairs in which critical science had contracted into  defensive metaphysics. Popper has suggested that the motto of science should be: Revolution in permanence! For Kuhn, it seems, a more appropriate maxim would be: Not Nostrums but normalcy!’ ( L&M. 1970. p28.)

In setting aside Popper’s demarcation-criterion fer science Kuhn advances his own, the verification process of normal science puzzle solving.( L&M  1970, p6.) claiming that  ‘ if a demarcation-criterion exists, it  may just be in that part of science which Sir Karl ignores.’  ‘To rely on testing as a mark of science ‘ says Kuhn, ‘is to miss what scientists mostly do’ ( Ibid, p10)

Irrespective of the sociology issue, hafta’ say, philosophically, Kuhn is on weak ground here. David Hume had already demonstrated that, as Socrates said before him, we cannot say that we ‘know’ anything, except perhaps, ‘I think therefore I am.’ ). Hume’s ‘black swan’ argument, amusingly described by the thanksgiving turkey’s error of logic, in Nassim Taleb’s  ‘The Black Swan.’ even stumped Bertrand Russell and the logical positivists. Like Einstein said, after Hume, no matter the build up of corroborating data, one counter example destroys yer theory. Popper recognised the tentative nature of our knowledge as per Hume, all that a scientist can ‘know’ about his theory’s dependability is whether it has continued to stand up against the only logically possible test of selection, the unequivocal test of falsification. We can eliminate unfit theories and select one which by comparison, so far, demonstrates its fitness to survive.

While scientists, flawed human beings like the rest of us, can fall under the spell of confirmation bias, there’s the salutory reminder from Richard Feynman, ‘First do not fool your self …bend over backward to present the weak side of yer theory.’ And if you do not, well the requirements of open society science-methodology ‘show yer data and workings,’ should find it for you. Seems ter me the Climate Debate with Mann et al and Steve McIntyre, shows the process working in spite of attempts by the Hockey Stick team, to protect their theory at all costs.

This serf considers that fer Kuhn’s theory ter be corroborated it needs to be demonstrated :

(a) that a switch from ‘normal,’ committed-to-a-paradigm-science, ter its revolutionary overthrow, is what takes place within the scientific community,

(b) that this change over is an irrational process, a sudden change to an incommensurable new paradigm and not, as Popper argues, a rational  selection of a theory with better explanatory power.

Ter (B) Or Not Ter (B)?

I’ll start with (b) and argue that in order to show that the process from one theory to another is not an evolutionary move to a theory with better explanatory power, but a conversion process, Kuhn had to justify his theory of the incommensurability of theories, which Popper calls ‘the myth of the framework.’

Say, while workin’ on this, I happened ter come across the following paper by Amitabha Palmer, which sets out very clearly and in language a serf understands, arguments that I consider refute Kuhn’s theory of incommensurability of theories. I post it in its entirety so will only briefly outline its claims.

Mission to Transition
http://missiontotransition.blogspot.com.au/2012/04/critique-of-kuhn-and-semantic.html

At the heart of Kuhn’s revolutionary view of science is the view that paradigm shifts arise out of crises. ‘A growing group within a community of experts will call for the overthrow of a theory because of its inability to satisfactorily account for observations. In such situations –when one paradigm is adopted over another–the choice is not one that can be made by appeal to logic or evidence: it is made by social persuasion. A consequence of this view is that science is not a cumulative enterprise, rather it is a series of extra rational choices of one paradigm over another. The purpose of this paper is to put pressure on Kuhn’s argument that scientific revolutions necessarily  involve a choice between  logically  mutually exclusive theories.’ ( p2.)

The paper employs three arguments to critique Kuhn’s claim of incommensurability of theories, which Popper calls ‘the myth of the framework:’

(1) Argument from zombie Newton meets Einstein, and inter-theory communication.

(2) Argument from Fundamentally Similar Meaning

(3)  Argument from Epistemic Peers.

Argument From Zombie Newton And Inter Theory Communication.

In this section Palmer supposes that Newton comes back from the dead and meets Einstein just after Einstein had figured out his new physics. Would they be unable to  communicate because they refer to different paradigms?

Would zombie Newton be able to understand when Einstein speaks of mass, despite the possible Kuhnsian response that because their terms refer to fundamentally different things, meaningful debate is not possible? Palmer thinks that when Einstein speaks of mass, that in a limited way, regarding fundamental notions of mass they could communicate. Newton would at least have a general notion of mass no different from the lay general public today….

‘We can look at other fields of study today and see that intra-theoretic communication is quite common. Suppose there’s a room with cognitive scientists, psychologists, behaviorists, cognitive and AI theorists. Although all of these people work within different but related theories, it seems odd if they couldn’t understand each other if they were speaking about ‘beliefs.’ Concepts which are shared between different theories don’t seem to be so radically different such that (necessarily) there is no overlap in meaning to the point where meaningful dialogue is impossible.’ ( p3)

Argument From Fundamentally Similar Meaning.

‘Science attempts to measure fundamental aspects of the natural world. I do not mean to say that this is all that science does, but I think it fairly uncontroversial that this is a fundamental aspect of the activity of science. and  ‘humans — and  particularly scientists — have adopted certain conventions about how we ‘chop up’ the natural world. Among some of these aspects, we measure space, time, energy and mass.’

There are ways we go about measuring these qualities. Consider space for example, comprised of notions of length, width and depth.  In measuring length we may start with a length of string, but later might adopt a metal rod as our standard. How we choose to quantify a particular aspect of the natural world is in part conventional.

‘But there is also another aspect of quantifying that isn’t conventional — these are facts about the natural world and logical laws. No matter how I choose to measure length (and by extension space) it is a fact of nature that certain materials will be better measuring instruments than others … It is by appealing to these facts of nature that I choose my convention. A logical law will make so if I add two lengths together, their sum will not be greater or less than the total of the two length.’  ( p5)

This brings brings us back to what a Newtonian can meaningfully discuss with an Einsteinian. Although there is a dispute over whatever measurement convention should be adopted, they are both referring to the same fundamental aspect and facts of the world. It might be true that the Einsteinian convention of measuring mass as equal to E/c2 yields more consistent results. But both theories aim to quantify the same fundamental aspects of the world.’  (p6)

Argument From Epistemic Peers.

While semantic incommensurability may be true of the 17th century zombie Newton, Palmer does not consider this would apply to Einstein’s peers. By narrow focusing on the theories and principles of Newton and Einstein, Kuhn, ‘ excludes the important developments outside of and adjacent to Newtonian physics that allowed Einstein to develop his theory. After all, Einstein did not develop his theories ex nihilo. Quite certainly Einstein’s peers would have also been familiar with non-Euclidean geometry and have shared the knowledge of the advanced particle theory.’  (p6.)

From this fact these adjacent developments could act as bridges for Einstein to explain how to derive his theory in terms of theirs. ‘Presumably these new developments are what enabled him to make his own leap from Newtonian physics … it seems reasonable that by sharing his reasoning with epistemic peers, others could too.’ ( pp 6,7.)

Einstein’s epistemic peers having access to the same relevant advances as Einstein weakens Kuhn’s argument that choosing between paradigms cannot be decided by rational debate.

So let’s take a look at Kuhn’s other thesis:
(a) that  the switch from ‘normal,’  committed-to-a-paradigm-science ter its revolutionary overthrow, is what takes place within the scientific community.

Might (A)  Be Applicable?

John Watkins (in Lakatos and Musgrave , pp34-37.) challenges Kuhn’s contention with focus on the very first scientist to take up  a new paradigm, a  process Kuhn describes as  a ‘conversion’ or  paradigm-switch that is ‘ a relatively sudden and unstructured event  like the gestalt switch.’ (Kuhn, 1962 )  Watkins contends that a new paradigm could never emerge from normal science in the way Kuhn describes.

Watkins critically examines four contentions by Kuhn that underpin his theory of normal science and it’s revolutionary overthrow.

(1) The paradigm-monopoly contention. A paradigm brooks no rivals. A scientist, while under the sway of one paradigm cannot seriously entertain a rival paradigm.

(2) The no-interregnum contention.  There is little or no time between the end of the old theory’s reign over the scientist’s mind and the beginning of a new theory’s reign.

(3) The incompatibility contention. A new theory will be incompatible and indeed incommensurable with the old theory, which reinforces the paradigm -monopoly contention.

(4) The gestalt-switch contention  which  follows from the other three contentions.

Watkin’s argues from the above that the switch to a new paradigm must be regarded in Kuhn’s thesis as the same thing as his invention of a new paradigm, which Kuhn endorses  in ‘The Structure of Scientific Revolutions.’  ‘ The new paradigm, or a sufficient hint to  permit later articulation, emerges all at once, in the middle of the night, in the mind of a man deeply immersed in crisis.’ ( p89.)  And at the Colloquium Kuhn says that theories are ‘invented in one piece.’ (L&M. p35.)

Watkins finds this ‘barely credible on psychological grounds ‘and suggests historical counter-examples such as the Inverse Square law an important component of Newtonian theory  (which Kuhn regards as a paradigm of paradigms) that has a long evolution from Hooke, Kepler to Copernicus.

Against Kuhn’s instant paradigm contention, Watkins maintains that  ‘since it takes time to develop a potential new paradigm to the point where it may challenge an entrenched paradigm, heretical thinking must have been going on for a long time before paradigm-change can occur.” (L&M. P37.)

Regarding two descriptions of reality as rival alternatives, that is, logically that cannot co-exist, it is possible to make rational choices between them partly because it is possible to devise crucial tests, eg stellar parallax, star-shift etc. They cannot therfore be regarded as incommensurable.

From these arguments Watkins concludes that that a reigning paradigm does not hold such a sway over scientists’ minds that they are unable to consider it critically, that competing theories are not incommensurable, belonging to different universes of discourse but rival alternatives able to be critically appraised, and therefore the scientific community is not the closed society incapable of critical discourse claimed by Kuhn.

DOING SCIENCE : A NUMBERS GAME OR NOT ?

Kuhn defines science quantitatively as what the majority of scientists ‘do,’ which he describes as a verification process that is largely uncritical. Popper maintains that this is a state of non-science in which critical science has contracted into a defensive metaphysics. Only that lesser group practising science to a high standard involving the western tradition of critical investigation involving rigorous testing are doing science.

It is this western tradition of scepticism from Socrates through to Galileo, Montaigne, Feynman and Einstein , a qualitative distinction, that Popper sees as integral to doing science. Einstein  recognised the conjectural nature of science. He understood  that his own theory of relativity, like Newton’s theory, were not laws of nature but rather, conjectures about nature, each in their turn refutable. Einstein ‘spent the second half of his life looking for a theory that would subsume and supersede his own theory of relativity, in exactly the same way that he had superseded Newton.(BMp65.)

This process is easily perverted by behaviours and processes described by Bryan Magee in ‘Confessions of a Philosopher,’ by Nassim Taleb in ‘The Black Swan,’ and Professor Judith Curry, Climate Etc thread, ‘Has science lost its way? 01/12/13.

THREE REASONS WHY SCIENTISTS STRAY.

Philosopher Bryan Magee, who interviewed both Bertrand Russell and Karl Popper for his BBC series on the history of philosophy describes how Russell, regarded as the father of logical positivism, did not regard himself as one of them. Like Popper, and Einstein, Russell recognised that logical positivism’s process pf verification was illogical, that, following Hume, from no number of observations however large, can  any general conclusion be confirmed. We can never verify. Russell could only hope that ‘something less sceptical than Hume’s system may be discoverable.’ ( BMp130.)

Though stumped by Hume’s problem Russell still considered the central task of philosophy remained its traditional task of trying to understand the nature of reality and the limits of our knowledge. And while Russell, more than anyone, says Magee, developed new techniques of logical analysis, he never regarded the application of these new developments in logic as anything more than tools for philosophy’s main task. Bertrand Russell, as did Popper later, recognised the sterility of logic chopping , the puzzle solving of Oxford philosophy, as an end in itself, like the medieval scholasticism of the Middle Ages. (pp 84/5) Who cares how many angels can dance on the head of a pin?

Say, and while we’re on the subject of human fallibility, yer jest can’t ignore human propensity fer self delusion and confirmation bias, explored by Greek tragedians and Nassim Taleb. In Chapter 10 of ‘The Black Swan’ Taleb gives examples of our tendency ter look fer instances that confirm the beliefs we construct, a propensity  highly developed  in ‘experts.’ Taleb calls this the ‘expert problem’ or ‘tragedy of the empty suit.’ Taleb appreciates that KarlRaimond Popper, as he refers ter him, recognised this and made of scepticism a method with testability as its demarcation. Directives from guvuhmint bodies that  seek desired outcomes, like the IPCC brief to measure AGW  causes of global warming is an impediment to objective research fer various reasons, on of them financial. 😦

Judith Curry at Climate Etc has a thread, ‘Has science lost its way?’ ( 01/12/13) that raises some important issues regarding the ‘perverse incentives that do not serve  the societally- relevant applications of science. ‘Professor Curry does not think that science per se has lost its way but  that the Science/ Nature model and the way universities reward scientists are perverse incentives.

Michael Eisen, the author of the thread, discussed evidence of flawed papers being published in important journals and argues that: ‘The journals want the papers that make the sexiest claims. And scientists believe that the way you succeed is having splashy papers in Science or Nature – it’s not bad for them if a paper turns out wrong if its gotten a lot of attention.’

Michael Eisen is a pioneer in open access scientific publishing to replace the present model. He claims that: ‘The flaw in the publication model is that the drive to publish in a top journal  … encourages researchers to hype their results especially in the life sciences’. And unpaid reviewers ‘seldom have the time or inclination to examine a study enough to unearth flaws or errors.’

Here’s a comment on the thread, ‘Has Science lost it’s way?’ by RiHo08, (December1, 2013 @10.04 pm ) that serfs consider goes to the heart of  Popper’s qualitative assessment of ‘scientist’ or not.

‘Has science lost its way? To me the question is answered by noting whether the scientists have lost their way and with it, the science they represent. The scientist who lacks integrity has lost his/her way.

We as outsiders can judge a scientist’s integrity; hence judge whether the work is worth ascribing significance. And how do I decide if someone displays integrity? by their body of behaviors. That’s right, integrity is judged by people’s behaviors. Now there are some people whose behaviors I do not like, yet by what they choose to say, what they choose to do within the body of their work I am willing to look for other aspects; i.e., sharing information, acknowledging mistakes, errors or uncertainties that over time I begin to trust what is said and I am willing to acknowledge that the person is doing their work with integrity. It makes their work “believable” at least for the short run.

Science is relatively inert with regards to whether it is losing its way I think. Science is the process of inquiry and that process is use for better or not by the scientists doing such science.

It is the scientists that lose their way, and that is highly individual.’

LITERARY SECTION

The Road Not Taken.

Two roads diverged in a yellow wood,
And sorry I could not travel both
And one traveller, long I stood
And looked down one as far I could
To where it bent in the undergrowth.

Then took the other, as just as fair,
And having perhaps the better claim
Because it was grassy and wanted wear,
Though as for that the passing there
Had worn them really about the same.

And both that morning equally lay
In leaves no step had trodden black.
Oh, I kept the first for another day!
Yet knowing how way leads on to way
I doubted if I should come back.

I shall be telling them with a sigh
Somewhere ages and ages hence:
Two roads diverged in a wood, and I,
I took the one less travelled by,
And that has made all the difference.

Robert Frost.

‘The Road Not Taken’ is a poem where the speaker seemingly eschews the well travelled path but look again. Both paths are equally untrod … ‘but later with a sigh, I shall be telling  …’    Hmmm, confirmation bias. First do not fool yerself.

SERF UNDER_GROUND JOURNAL 7TH EDITION

MAKING POLITICIANS ACCOUNTABLE.

Fer those of you visiting Serf Under -ground fer the first time, 🙂 I’m reposting me
blog policy stated in the First Edition …

“Serf Under -ground Journal seeks ter emulate Professor Judith Curry’s forum at Climate Etc, pertaining ter open society values of inclusive discussion between experts and non-experts, and her recognition that on all fronts of human investigation,
uncertainty prevails.”

‘Inclusiveness,’ say, there’s a value relevant ter democratic decision making, contrary ter trickle down guvuhmint by plato – nicist –  philosopher – king – types telling us what we need ter know. The subject of this edition, as indicated in the above heading, is about applying appropriate measures so that powerful coteries in the political system can no longer choose what information gets out. It’s also about determining who in the future will run the show, philosopher kings or the cits.

Some of us serfs who managed ter acquire a little book learning have found insights regarding ‘the great man syndrome’ in the history record. While experts have their place in a decision making process, their history of predicting future events ain’t good, as Nassim Taleb shows in ‘The Black Swan.’ I refer particularly ter many examples of experts’ black swan blindness cited in Chapter 10, ‘The Scandal of Prediction.’ )

Apropos top down decision making, a recently published book on Australian democracy by David Flint and Jai Martinkovits, ‘Give Us Back Our Country,’ ( Connor Courts Publishing, 2013.) presents arguments and supporting examples describing how Australian democracy is no longer working as it once did.

POWER TER THE PEOPLE.

When the Australian self-governing colonies decided to come together they achieved Federation, not through politicians taking the decision for them, but as a decision   involving citizens  in how it should come about. Australia was already a democracy, its institutions, 1789 – 1901, inherited from the British Westminster System.  Flint and Martinkovits’ book describes the evolution of the Westminster System, proceeding after James 11’s abdication in Britain’s 1688 Glorious Revolution’, when William of Orange was offered the British Crown with limited powers, according to a Bill of Rights declaring ‘the Rights and Liberties of the Subject and Settling the Succession of the Crown.’ (1 Will.& Mar. sess 2c.2)  Two centuries later, in Corowa, 1893, Australia’s founding fathers showed good sense in drafting a constitution based on the Westminster System and also grafting on to it aspects of American federalism and Swiss direct democracy.

MACHINATIONS IN THE CORRIDORS OF POWER.

The central thesis of ‘Give Us Back Our Country’ is that Australia’s robust democracy has been eroded by a cosy interaction between factional power brokers, faceless men, and intellectual elites and we need to devolve power back to the people. Factional bosses control our political parties and elites have taken over our institutions which have become less accountable and increasingly wasteful of tax payers’ money. Author, Christopher Lasch, in  ‘The Revolt Of The Elites, (New York, 1995.) identifies upper class ‘liberal progressives’ from Humanities Faculties of Universities, who are now prominent in government bureaucracies and media, and who advocate centralizing top down social initiatives. A series of scandals concerning the power brokers has revealed a world, far removed from that of ordinary citizens, in which a premier and even a prime minister can be brought down by faceless cliques who reward one another with large sums from the public purse.

Flint and Martinkovits argue that the imposition of elite initiatives has had disastrous consequences , expanding government’s role through so called reform agendas, a cloak of infallibility for gaining increasing power. They argue that ‘electing a government in the 21st century is tantamount to signing a blank cheque on your bank account, guaranteed by your house, your assets and your income.’

Imposition of an elite agenda has led, for example, to limitations on freedom of speech of critics and government imposition of a carbon tax which, though punitively expensive, can’t reduce CO2. Supporting their acceptance of the theory of CAGW without firm evidence, the Gillard / Rudd Governments attempted to silence critics through ridicule by the government’s cronies in media outlets like the ABC, and by further attempted control of freedom of speech, when the Minister for Broadband, Communications and the Digital Economy, Senator Conroy, in 2011 initiated an inquiry into the Australian Media  led by former Chief Justice of the  Federal Court,  Ray Finkelstein, QC. The Finkelstein enquiry concluded that a new powerful News Media Council should be established to set journalistic standards with wide powers of enforcement, despite the fact that the Constitution gives no power to the Federal Government to pass legislation to give effect to such recommendations. Under opposition within the Party itself as well as from the opposition, the Media Bill was withdrawn.

TEND YER GARDEN.

At the same time as the government is usurping what were previously viewed as specifically the provinces of Australian citizens or responsibility of the States, the Government is falling down in its basic duties of Defence of the Nation, of Foreign policy and of Law and Order.

I guess we serfs don’t mind a bit of top down guvuhmint when it’s about keeping the citizens safe from invasion or mayhem in the city square. So let’s take a look at Defence, Foreign Affairs’ policy and Law and Order beginning with Defence.

Well, considering the importance of security of the nation, a Defence budget isn’t something you turn on and off as if it’s a matter of discretionary spending. Flint and Martinkovits observe that Defence requires long lead times and a seriousness transcending party politics. The Rudd / Gillard Government has taken up to $24 billion dollars out of the Defence budget, seemingly prepared to accept an increased strategic risk at a time when Asian Defence spending is rising significantly and when, as Major General Jim Molan observes, security threats to Australia may be higher than we have seen for decades. ( Chapter 2.)

Say, and what about Foreign Affairs, described in the Constitution as External Affairs, a core duty of guvuhmint ter protect its own borders and the interests of Australia and Australians beyond our borders? Well yer’ll be glad ter hear that the Foreign Affairs  budget was increased by $5.2 billion dollars in 2013, glad, that is, until yer hear the reason why.

The Australian Government has borrowed billions of dollars which the Australian tax payers will have to repay, interest then principal, to buy a temporary seat on the UN Security Council, a ‘vanity pulpit’ for the Foreign Affairs Minister, Kevin Rudd. Borrowed money to belong to a club, the majority of whose members are dictatorial and corrupt, eg  ref / Paul Volker ‘Report on the Manipulation of the Oil for Food Program.’  (07/10/2005.)  

And closer to home, when it comes down to managing our border security, the Rudd / Gillard government has dismantled the former government’s successful ‘Pacific Solution’ to illegal immigration, the majority of whom are not refugees from persecution but come from a safe third country, usually Indonesia. A weak policy on people smuggling has allowed 40,000 illegal immigrants to enter Australia, a number that could be multiplied by a factor of three as a result of the government’s family reunion program This ploy is designed to bolster the Labor Government’s voting constituency but also increases levels of unskilled labour and welfare dependency.  
Government negligence has also allowed mismanagement and corruption to flourish in the Customs Department. Veteran detective, Tim Priest, identifies systematic failings in Customs that have been known for years, e.g. a staggering 53 freight containers fully laden with drugs passed through screening at Botany Bay and had to be tracked down by NSW police.  Tim Priest wonders why the Federal Government has concentrated more than 25% of its staff in Canberra, an area with no sea port and only one airport and railway station.

Maintenance of Law and Order, an area of Federal responsibility, shared with the States, has become another failure of core responsibility. Serfs appreciate the idea that while every law restricts human freedom, as the sainted Hayek would say, a restricted Rule of Law, the basis of justice when non-arbitrary and consistently applied, allows us serfs ter go about our business peacefully and plan fer termorrow. We support maintaining this democratic process of non-arbitrary Rule of Law.  

So how is Law and Order working within Australia? It might surprise you to learn  that a comparison of crime rates in Australia and the United States show that the Australian crime rate is 43% higher than the crime rate in the US.. While America has more homicides from fire arms, Australia has 100% more assaults and 150% more rapes than the US,(wwwnationmaster.com/compare/Australia/United-States/Crime.)  Flint and Martinkovits consider that this is due to weaknesses of government policy, a ‘go soft on crime’ message to potential offenders as a result of  a plethora of bureaucratic constraints on police and trial procedures. The authors cite controls on trial judges and evidence entrusted to juries, and encouragement of tax-payer funded appeals, often for relatively trivial reasons as contributing to the increase in crime. Failing control on illegal immigration and also release of the dangerously medically ill from institutions into the community are also factors that could be contributing to issues of law and order.

EMPLOYING THE TOOLS OF DIRECT DEMOCRACY.

Flint and Martinkovits present four proposals to empower the people with the tools of direct democracy; they are Citizen Initiated Referenda, Citizens’ Veto over existing laws, Recall Elections, and the reintroduction of Grand Juries.

Citizen Initiated Referenda (CIR) would give citizens the power to introduce a referendum that if passed by a majority of voters would become law regardless of what the politicians say. There are forms of CIR around the world today, all based on   the idea that if a certain percentage of citizens sign a petition that a certain law be put to the people, a referendum must be held. Switzerland has a robust tradition of CIR,  resulting, in some years, in several proposed laws being put to the people. Twenty-five of the American states also have some form of CIR. The authors consider that if the electorate have this power they will become more engaged in the political process and become more responsiveto what makes good or bad policy.

The Citizens’ Veto similarly gives the people the opportunity to repeal an unpopular law. A Citizens’ Veto would weaken  the politicians master – servant relationship with voters. It is unlikely that the Labor Government would have introduced its unpopular carbon tax had the Australian voters been empowered with such a veto.

A direct democracy initiative of Recall Elections, a feature of  a number of states in the USA, is another means of  keeping politicians in check. Recall Elections allow  citizens to petition for an elected official to be dismissed and to face the voters afresh. In recent years, in Australia, certain members of both sides of government, dogged by claims of corruption, would likely have been subject to Recall Elections.

The institution of the Grand Jury came to some of the Australian colonies just as it was declining in England. Grand Juries were first mentioned in the time of Henry 11, the task of The Grand Jury was to report on breaches of the King’s peace and it evolved to become a body deciding whether there was sufficient evidence for a prosecution to be brought before one of the visiting assize judges of the Court of King’s Bench in London.

In Victorian times committal proceedings were heard before a magistrate and grand juries were on the way out. The founding fathers in America believed the Grand Jury was an institution worth preserving as a means of citizens being able to check the excesses of governments and it is still operating the in US under the Fifth Amendment which is part of the Bill of Rights.  The purpose of the Grand Jury remains what it was in England and a jury of 16 to 23 individuals chosen randomly from registered voters is frequently convened to decide whether to recommend prosecution in corruption and organized crime cases. A Grand Jury elects its own foreman and is not chaired by a judge. It is truly a citizen body. The grand jury disappeared in most of the Australian states but continued to exist until recently,
on paper at least, in Victoria under section 354 0f the Crimes Act, 1958. After some unsuccessful attempts in recent years to convene grand juries, one relating to Prime Minister Julia Gillard, the section was repealed in 2009.

In Australia we have a range of institutions which carry out investigations into corruption and organized crime. The problem and difficulty of parliamentary investigations and royal commissions, though, is that they are instituted by the Government of the day and are politically orientated. As Flint and Martinkovits claim:  ‘There is a gap, a democratic deficit.  And that is the ordinary citizens are in no way involved in this investigation.’ (Ch 22.)

While a fallible serf agrees with the principles of checks and balances on guvuhmint by means of a grand jury and is in favour of inclusive discussion on other initiatives of direct democracy, history tells us that human actions sometimes have unintended consequences.

Citizen Initiated Referendums and Citizens’ Veto could be vulnerable ter the kind of behind the scenes manipulation that we are trying ter prevent within the guvuhmint, but potentially facilitating outside guvuhmint through the machinations of elitist activist groups like ‘Get Up’ exploiting the power of social media.Guess yer would need a bi-partisan body of lawyers assessing the implications of these kinds of constitutional changes. Safeguards would need to be built so as not ter undo mandates voted for in the preceding election, for example, as distinct from vetoing legislation enacted contrary to a pre-electoral promise, such as Julia Gillard’s broken promise that her government would not introduce a carbon tax.

Apropos activist group ‘Get Up,’ in October 2012, the then Opposition Senate Leader, Senator Abetz wrote to the Australian Electoral Commission recommending that Get Up be declared an associated entity which would refute the claim by National Director, Simon Sheikh, that Get Up is  strictly ‘issues driven and unaligned with any political  movement.’  ‘Politically unaligned’ is the shtick by which the 380,0000 of Get Up are induced ter pay cash ter support their campaigns. As Senator Betz argues, it has never been a non-partisan independent body. Get Up’s current board includes Amanda Tattersall, a former staffer for NSW Labor MP Meredith Burgmann, its founders include Labor Minister, Bill Shorten, and ex PM Rudd’s former Press Secretary, Lachlan Harris.

A CALL TER ACTION.

It is important to remember that Australian Federation was not achieved by the politicians but by decisions coming from Australian citizens. What was nor envisaged
at Federation was that representative democracy would fall under the control of factional power brokers and electors would be obliged to choose between candidates too often selected for their allegiance to a factional power broker and the elites who gained control of many key institutions.

The authors of ‘Give Us Back Our Country’ argue that the only solution to the breakdown in democracy is to make our politicians more accountable by introducing into Australia the tools of direct democracy. To achieve the institutions of direct democracy Flint and Martinkovits propose that a peoples’ convention, as in 1893 in Corowa, be elected with the task of working out a series of proposals to be considered by the people in referendum. A convention would only take place if there is enough public pressure to make politicians let it happen. Flint and Martinkovits invite Australian citizens to sign the petition on page 371 of their book or at their internet site @
 
http://directdemocracy.org.au/index.php/2-about/11-sign-the-petition

A broad-based  constitutional convention  just might be able to identify productive reforms that safe guard free speech, make government more transparent and curb legislative initiatives beyond defined limits. Like Milton said, ‘Let truth and falsehood grapple, whoever saw truth put to worse in open debate.’

IN DEFENCE OF FREEDOM OF SPEECH.

Yer might think that because a Bill restricting freedom of speech in Australia was unsuccessful that this is jest past history. Not so. Opponents of open society promoting paternalist guvuhmint never give up. Constant vigilance is required in holding the line or hopefully winning back the high ground in the debate.  Herewith   extracts from Senator George Brandis’ address at the 3rd Sir Henry Gibbs  Memorial Oration in Brisbane, August 17th, 2012. The Oration though, is worth reading in its entirety.  http://samuelgriffith.org.au/files/2012/07/SGS-Program_2012.pdf

Senator Brandis addresses implications of political correctness , section 18c of the Racial Discrimination Act, 1995, and of media controls recommended in 2012The Finkelstein Report  recommending the setting up of a new regulatory body, funded by government, to oversee the news media, a News Media Council with power to enforce decisions and apply sanctions.

On political correction George Brandis observes:

‘When he introduced section 18c in 1995, the then Minister for Immigration, Senator  Nick Bolkus, oblivious to  the Orwellian resonances of his rhetoric, told the  Parliament that it was designed to eliminate “speech crimes.”  ‘

… ‘The practitioners of political correctness have grasped the close connection between language and thought, so that by limiting that which may be said, they seek to limit what may be thought … As Winston Smith discovered, there is hardly any distance between speech crime and thought crime. So the attack upon freedom of speech is not merely about the censorship of language which the Left finds objectionable. At a deeper level it is an attack upon intellectual freedom itself.’

‘For those who take the trouble to read the Finkelstein Report , of even greater  concern than the recommendations is their rationale. For the underlying argument is itself an attack upon what Finkelstein calls the “libertarian ” case for press freedom , in favour of what he describes as  the principle of “social responsibility.” Now there are few who would argue that the press, as a powerful institution, does not have responsibility to society. But Finkelstein’s approach goes much further than that: by favouring the “social responsibility” argument over the “libertarian” argument, freedom of the press is not seen as the paramount public value, qualified by necessary but jealously circumscribed exceptions, rather it is displaced … Finkelstein is unambiguous about the purposes of the new regulatory body which he proposes: ‘It could not be denied that whatever mechanism is chosen to ensure accountability, speech will be restricted. In a sense that is the purpose of the mechanism.’  ‘

Hmm, jest as well the legislation wasn’t passed. But the attitude remains. It’s still about Plato – on – the hill saying, ‘Listen serfs, we will tell you what yer need ter know and what – yer – can – say.’

A standard tactic of  the Gillard government was to attempt to place controversial subjects beyond public discussion by invoking the superior knowledge of  selected “experts.” You disagree with a mining tax? Oh, but  Dr Henry says it is a good thing.  You disappear about about global warming? Oh but climate “expert” Tim Flannery says …

Here’s what a sceptical serf at Climate Etc. has ter say regarding experts in science:

‘… I guess I hammer this theme a bit hard here even though I have always supported science and been involved on the fringes of science for some 40 years or more. That’s maybe why I now have the attitude towards science that I do or as one of my brothers who has a science degree puts it; In science, you have to try ninety nine f.w’s to get that hundredth guy / gal who can really make a difference.

So I keep on coming back to the basics in that scientists, whatever discipline, culture, background, training or otherwise are just ordinary human beings with all the faults and qualities, good, bad, indifferent, skilled, incompetent, honest, dishonest, corrupt, you name it, that any other section of the population you might wish to choose from also has….’

ROM @ 11.25pm , 22/10/13.

(Yer can read the comment in its entirety at Judith Curry’s thread, ‘The Ethics of Framing Science.’ )

LITERARY SECTION.

One’s-self I sing, a simple separate person,
Yet utter the word Democratic, the word En-Masse.

Of physiology from top to toe I sing,
Not physiognomy alone nor brain alone is worthy for the Muse.
I say the Form complete is worthier far,
The female equally with the Male I sing.

Of Life immense in passion, pulse, and power,
Cheerful, for freest action form’d under the laws divine,
The Modern Man I sing.

Walt Whitman. Inscriptions.